Building Future Urban Development Scenarios into Assessments of Future Flood Risk

September 5-6, 2023

Submitted to
The Fourth Spatial Data Science Symposium

Katherine Booker

Professor Iain White, University of Waikato and Professor Matthew Wilson, GRI University of Canterbury

Research Problem

The devastating impact of flood events demonstrates the need for more comprehensive assessments of future flood risk in urban policy. Risk assessments based on future flood projections paired with current urban plans are missing a key characteristic of the hazard – what will urban areas in Aotearoa-NZ look like in 2050 or 2100?


To determine how urban growth models can be utilised to generate alternative long-term scenarios of future urban form for integrating into assessments of future flood risk.


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Poster 1

Poster 2

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